Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1257.473167 1423.381106 1605.915462 1822.130447 2071.873907 2352.016159 2691.074937
2025-11-23 1005.078441 1227.943475 1495.254356 1841.606954 2281.545252 2825.744123 3556.117344
2025-11-30 871.584035 1120.956149 1438.106642 1875.317143 2469.054908 3256.849391 4397.300337
2025-12-07 748.762715 1001.770966 1338.468123 1825.744281 2523.566223 3503.282104 5012.289102
2025-12-14 654.778982 905.378921 1251.801911 1774.256326 2557.315856 3711.927679 5589.991075
2025-12-21 577.111046 820.883987 1169.109109 1713.470388 2562.669218 3870.475810 6104.544123
2025-12-28 545.203178 797.551703 1169.994012 1773.571249 2754.083888 4332.813971 7169.930397
2026-01-04 509.764599 764.502460 1151.574992 1799.498577 2891.413253 4722.515728 8171.155066
2026-01-11 475.894851 730.025071 1126.558390 1810.346573 3002.530091 5079.169794 9167.169566
2026-01-18 445.637969 698.069384 1101.783598 1817.584560 3106.179435 5433.199449 10212.721122
2026-01-25 426.369799 681.861523 1100.594473 1863.942579 3283.118274 5941.447322 11644.111488
2026-02-01 406.726036 663.077358 1092.911074 1897.179942 3438.603214 6428.194908 13115.131480
2026-02-08 386.171100 641.552194 1079.473833 1920.278696 3581.289497 6917.370799 14702.118173
2026-02-15 366.987957 620.832683 1065.635646 1941.275299 3723.013463 7426.667654 16440.361114
2026-02-22 351.734607 605.651472 1060.104925 1977.051548 3898.342054 8031.518831 18526.393146
2026-03-01 325.989143 569.358703 1012.432069 1924.430609 3881.533349 8211.937823 19600.399593
2026-03-08 302.461311 535.344080 966.169174 1869.788511 3853.273447 8361.362945 20623.625728
2026-03-15 279.879687 501.464026 917.470017 1805.294860 3795.455811 8433.382457 21455.155884
2026-03-22 274.006453 498.860185 929.249177 1869.061550 4035.244682 9254.909020 24548.994554
2026-03-29 264.463471 488.398560 924.498869 1896.575562 4194.167020 9901.232446 27291.340246
2026-04-05 253.927416 475.190467 913.074180 1908.088353 4316.150295 10472.054629 29944.379758
2026-04-12 243.757580 461.975040 900.546491 1915.770206 4429.628863 11038.509120 32725.876005
2026-04-19 238.107919 457.499212 905.874232 1964.976768 4654.085541 11945.407184 36870.192056